sniprpenguin
L6: Sharp Member
- Mar 14, 2008
- 266
- 258
I actually have to agree with Rikka on this one. Icarus voting for no-one seems alright, but then Grim comes in and votes with him?
But now people are starting to drop their Icarus votes like flies in favor of no lynching, like a bunch of dirty hippies. Let's do some math.
Every day, two people will theoretically die. One will be a random death (in essence), one will be a non-mafia death.
With 15 people, there are a maximum of 7 days. However, the game (can) ends as soon as the Mafia outnumbers the villagers, because the mafia would just vote together and kill everyone else.
Assuming 3/4 mafia, that really gives us a minimum of 4 or 5 days. No matter your reasoning, the villagers can't win with 3 lucky lynchings, especially if they are 4 mafia, because the 4th night rolls around and they win.
That is why we must have a lynch the first day, no matter what. You will know that one unlucky person is not a mafia if we don't, which leads us back to square one. At least we can get two people down and have a 25% chance of getting one mafia. Hell, it's better than the chances of getting a hat.
I maintain my vote for Icarus, and I suggest that nobody votes for nobody.
But now people are starting to drop their Icarus votes like flies in favor of no lynching, like a bunch of dirty hippies. Let's do some math.
Every day, two people will theoretically die. One will be a random death (in essence), one will be a non-mafia death.
With 15 people, there are a maximum of 7 days. However, the game (can) ends as soon as the Mafia outnumbers the villagers, because the mafia would just vote together and kill everyone else.
Assuming 3/4 mafia, that really gives us a minimum of 4 or 5 days. No matter your reasoning, the villagers can't win with 3 lucky lynchings, especially if they are 4 mafia, because the 4th night rolls around and they win.
That is why we must have a lynch the first day, no matter what. You will know that one unlucky person is not a mafia if we don't, which leads us back to square one. At least we can get two people down and have a 25% chance of getting one mafia. Hell, it's better than the chances of getting a hat.
I maintain my vote for Icarus, and I suggest that nobody votes for nobody.